Over the weekend, we wrote about the Lieutenant Governor’s race on the Republican side. Voters have a choice between a RINO in Rep. Brett Davis and a conservative in Rebecca Kleefisch.
The Republican primary for governor features Milwaukee County Executive Scott Walker and former Rep. Mark Neumann. The latest Rasmussen Reports poll shows both candidates running just slightly ahead of the Democrat, Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett. Walker leads Barrett 47% to 44%, while Neumann leads Barrett 48% to 44%.
Those are interesting numbers. In the previous Rasmussen Reports survey, Walker held an eight-point lead over Barrett at 49% to 41% while Neumann held a slim lead over Barrett, 45% to 43%.
What happened? What does the change foreshadow?
Obviously, Barrett’s usual supporters are coming home and his support is solidifying. But what about the Republican side?
In May, Scott Walker was endorsed by the Republican Party of Wisconsin’s state convention. Walker has picked up endorsements of most of the state GOP officials as well as elected officials.
What’s happened across the country may very well be affecting this race. All over the United States, voter discontent has been directed at anything connected to incumbency and political insiders. Neumann has been running on the notion that, because Scott Walker has been the Milwaukee County Executive since 2001 and before that was a member of the Wisconsin State Assembly, that somehow makes him part of political insider class and — gasp! — a career politician.
Neumann should look in the mirror. If it weren’t for a narrow loss to Sen. Russ Feingold in 1998, he’d no doubt be running for his third term in the U.S. Senate now. Count his runs for the House of Representatives in the 1st Congressional District in 1992 (loss), 1993 special election loss), 1994 (win) and 1996 (win), and he’s been involved in politics as a candidate often enough himself.
The dynamics of this race may be changing. What looked like a certain Walker victory may turn out to be a nailbiter because of the national anti-incumbency sentiment and the vicious attacks against Walker, not by Neumann himself, but by Neumann supporters.
First, the anti-incumbency sentiment. Should Neumann pull off arguably the largest upset in Wisconsin politics since Lee Dreyfus beat Bob Kasten in the GOP primary in 1978, it will be no doubt due to his success in painting Walker as a political insider and career politician. Face it, folks. 2010 is not the year of the incumbent or anyone part of the political class. Any of those who survive will be as a result of holding a safe seat or dumb luck. This is almost as much an anti-incumbent year as it is an anti-Democrat year.
The second point bears closer watch as well. The Neumann campaign has attracted most of the progressive Republicans, not conservatives. That’s odd, since Neumann is attempting to run as a conservative in part on his record from his days in Congress. But Neumann has also consumed the green Kool-Aid, in no small part because his business benefits from environmentalist wacko garbage, not because what’s spewed from the green crowd is true (it’s not).
Neumann has also crawled into bed with the maggot-infested rodents from One Wisconsin Now to parrot attacks against Walker. OWN, part of the Hate Left in Wisconsin, suffers from an advanced case of Walker Derangement Syndrome. While Neumann himself has not parroted the hate and the lies, his supporters have been more than willing to do so.
To wit:
- Neumann supporters have repeated the lie that Scott Walker raised taxes as Milwaukee County executive in comments sections of blogs, on Facebook and on Twitter.
- Neumann supporters have labeled Walker a “college dropout” and snarkily suggested he finish his college degree before he thinks about being governor of Wisconsin.
When you are parroting snarky comments and lies from the likes of Mathias, Folkbum and Capper, I don’t want anything to do with you. You lost all street cred as a conservative in my book. You are a progressive, whether or not you want to admit it.
Facts are stubborn things, and while the Neumann supporters are entitled to their own opinions, they are not entitled to their own set of facts.
- Scott Walker did not raise taxes as Milwaukee County Executive. That is flat-out false. While taxes have increased, those tax hikes came directly as a result of the insider-controlled Milwaukee County Board, which overrode Walker’s vetoes on all tax increases.
- While Walker did not finish his bachelor’s degree, he left school to enter the workforce, not because he couldn’t hack it. What’s with the obsession that everyone have a college degree anyway? A bachelor’s degree today is worth about as much as a high school diploma years ago. Given how easily one is obtained by virtually anyone, there’s nothing special about it, and it’s no proof you are educated. Take a look at the narcissistic Man-Child in the White House. A constitutional law professor adjunct law instructor. How’s that working out for us? As William F. Buckley once said: “I’d rather entrust the government of the United States to the first 400 people listed in the Boston telephone directory than to the faculty of Harvard University.”
How’s this going to play out? I heard Mark Belling opine the other day that he thinks 60 percent of the voters have made up their mind, which leaves 40 percent undecided.
It might explain why Walker, who’s been ignoring Neumann all along, went negative on his primary opponent, with a mailer and a TV ad pointing out that Neumann, while in Congress voted for a pork-laden transportation bill … as did Bela Pelosi. While it’s a stretch to — say the least — that Neumann = Pelosi, the Neumann campaign’s whining in light of the mailer and ad is too self-serving. The Neumann minions have been doing far worse than that leading up to now to be calling “Unfair!” See my point above about the lies that Scott Walker raised taxes as Milwaukee County Executive.
What’s going to happen? Right now, I believe the race is too close to call. Neumann, as Belling pointed out the other day, has invested a significant amount of his own personal money in his campaign. You don’t do that if you don’t have realistic expectations of winning. Some sort of internal polls have to be telling Neumann he has a legitimate chance of pulling the upset. I haven’t seen a poll in this race since June, which had Walker ahead by a wide margin. Remember: the poll that had Lisa Murkowski wiping out Joe Miller by 30 points was six weeks old by the election. Six weeks in politics is an eternity. 10 weeks, even more so.
I will be voting for Scott Walker next Tuesday, and I believe you should, too. However, if Mark Neumann sneaks out a narrow upset win, I won’t be surprised.
Will I vote for Neumann if he is the GOP nominee? In all honesty, I will not. Nor will I be voting for Tom Barrett, for obvious reasons. He’s Jim Doyle’s third term. Jim Doyle is America’s Worst Governor. But after the attacks out of the sewer against a good man like Scott Walker that have carried out by Neumann minions, I cannot validate that sort of conduct. I don’t care to ever speak to any of these people again. This time, it’s personal. I absolutely condemn that sort of behavior, and yes, it’s typical of progressives, who are motivated almost exclusively by hatred of conservatives.