Thank you, President Downgrade.
Voters in the projected battleground states are leaving the Democrats in droves less than a year before the 2012 presidential election. A study from Third Way, a centrist think tank, delivers the really bad news (via National Journal):
Over 825,000 registered Democrats in Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina and Pennsylvania have departed the party rolls since President Obama’s election in 2008, a much more significant share than the number of Republicans (378,000) who have done the same.
It’s difficult from here to see any path to 270 electoral votes for Our Lord and Savior Barack Hussein Obama. Normally red states like Indiana, North Carolina and Virginia won’t likely fall into the blue column as they did in 2008 when normally rational voters drank the Hope and Change™ Kool-Aid. Also, Ohio and Florida, states carried by President Bush in 2000 and 2004 are almost certain to revert to red next year. Even states like Wisconsin and Pennsylvania are no longer certainities. Any wonder why the unionistas are trying to undo the 2010 election in Wisconsin? They need the Badger State’s electoral votes for Il Douche.
Lanae Erickson and Michelle Diggles, two analysts from Third Way stress how much more this means that Obama needs Independent voters:
Independents are likely to turn out in their largest numbers in 35 years, and President Obama will need those Independent votes even more than he did in 2008, if he hopes to be re-elected.
And just how is Il Douche doing with Independents? Under water. Buried in the details of the latest Gallup survey on Dear Leader’s approval ratings is this:
Obama’s approval rating has decreased among all six partisan/ideology groups Gallup tracks on a regular basis since January, but it has dropped the most — 10 percentage points, from 40% to 30% — among pure independents. These are the roughly 14% of national adults who neither identify with one of the two major parties nor indicate a leaning. Obama’s approval rating has declined by nearly as much — eight points — among moderate/liberal Republicans, from 29% to 21%.
No way Obama wins with those numbers, no matter who the Republicans nominate. The eventual nominee could be this guy:
And Obama loses. Sad to say, the Cocktail Party GOP’s master plan of running the least conservative candidates likely will succeed. Instead of running, say, an actual conservative, we’ll get Not Obama. And Tweedledee. And like it.
